Mastery course · Advanced Mathematics and Statistics for Perfumers

Measurement Uncertainty in Weighing and Dilution

Propagate a balance's resolution through a dilution and a formula line with the GUM method, and see why small weighings dominate a formula's uncertainty.

In short

Every weighing carries an uncertainty, and a formula carries all of them at once. The internationally agreed method (the GUM, JCGM 100:2008) turns a balance's readability into a standard uncertainty, propagates it through each calculation with sensitivity coefficients, and combines independent contributions in quadrature. Done for a real formula, it shows something bench experience only hints at: the smallest weighings dominate, so a trace line weighed directly can be uncertain by tens of percent while the formula total is known to a fraction of one.

What you will learn

  • Convert a balance's readability into a standard uncertainty with a stated distribution
  • Propagate uncertainties through a dilution with sensitivity coefficients
  • Show why the smallest weighings dominate a formula's uncertainty
  • Report a result with an expanded uncertainty and its coverage factor

Before this lesson: A Formula as a Linear System, Spot a Calculation Error: Study Guide, Perfume Dilution Practice Problems

Before you start

You need partial derivatives (or the patience to compute them numerically), the stock arithmetic of the formula as a linear system, and the bench perspective of batch errors. The blog's equipment list covers choosing a balance.

From readability to standard uncertainty

A reading displayed to 0.01 g is known only to within ±0.005 g from rounding alone. With no reason to prefer any value in that interval, the GUM treats it as a rectangular distribution of half-width a, whose standard deviation is u = a/√3 = 0.00289 g. That is a Type B evaluation, from knowledge of the instrument. A Type A evaluation uses repeated measurement: weigh the same check weight ten times and take the standard deviation. Real balances also have repeatability, linearity and calibration terms in their specification; include them when you have them. This lesson uses resolution alone, which gives a lower bound.

A weighing by difference uses two readings (tare and gross), so uw = √2 · 0.00289 = 0.00408 g.

Propagation through a dilution

A dilution's concentration is c = m1/(m1 + m2), material over total. Its sensitivity coefficients are

∂c/∂m1 = m2/(m1+m2)² and ∂c/∂m2 = −m1/(m1+m2)².

For 1.00 g of material and 9.00 g of solvent: c = 0.100, the coefficients are 0.09 and −0.01 per gram, and

u(c) = √[(0.09 × 0.00408)² + (0.01 × 0.00408)²] = 0.00037, a relative uncertainty of 0.37%.

Propagation into a formula line

Now weigh 0.05 g of that 10% dilution into a formula. The weighing's relative uncertainty is 0.00408/0.05 = 8.16%. The pure material delivered is a = m·c, and for a product, relative uncertainties combine in quadrature:

urel(a) = √(8.16%² + 0.37%²) = 8.17%

The dilution hardly matters; the small weighing is everything. Weigh 0.5 g of a 1% dilution instead (same pure amount) and the weighing contributes 0.82%. This is the quantitative argument for stock solutions and for the practical minimum weight: not a rule of thumb, but a factor of ten in uncertainty.

Report the result with an expanded uncertainty: 0.050 g ± 0.008 g (k = 2). With k = 2 and an approximately normal distribution, the interval covers about 95% of plausible values; with a rectangular-dominated budget, say so.

Where it stops

  • Resolution is not accuracy. A balance that reads to 0.001 g may be repeatable only to 0.002 g; use its specification or your own check-weight data.
  • Not every error is random. Evaporation while weighing, static on plastic, draughts and drops left in a pipette are biases, which the budget does not capture unless you measure them.
  • Correlation. Lines weighed on one balance with one calibration error share a bias; independent-quadrature combination then understates the uncertainty of their ratio.

In professional practice

Quality laboratories write uncertainty budgets for release tests; compounding operations set weighing tolerances per line. Knowing where uncertainty comes from tells you which lines need a finer balance, which need a premix, and which are safely weighed directly.

Practical exercise: Write an uncertainty budget for your own batch

About 120 minutes · You will have: an uncertainty budget for one formula batch, line by line, with the dominant contributions identified and one change that would halve the largest

  1. Take a formula you have made, with at least ten lines, two of them from dilutions.
  2. For your balance, find the readability and, if available, the repeatability. If you have a check weight, measure repeatability yourself with ten readings.
  3. For each line, calculate the standard uncertainty of the pure material delivered, including the dilution's uncertainty for diluted lines.
  4. Rank lines by relative uncertainty. Propose one change (a premix, a larger batch, a finer balance) for the worst, and recalculate.

You have done this well if each contribution names its source (Type A or B), weighings by difference use two readings, the worst line's improvement is recalculated rather than asserted, and your report states the biases you did not quantify.

Common mistakes

  • Adding uncertainties linearly. Independent ones combine in quadrature.
  • Using readability as the whole uncertainty. It is the smallest part of a real budget.
  • Quoting an expanded uncertainty without k. The interval means nothing without its coverage factor.

Key terms

Standard uncertainty
The uncertainty of a result expressed as a standard deviation. For a reading known only to lie within ±a with equal likelihood, it is a/√3.
Sensitivity coefficient
The partial derivative of a result with respect to one input: how much the result changes per unit change in that input.
Expanded uncertainty
The standard uncertainty multiplied by a coverage factor k, commonly 2, giving an interval expected to contain a large fraction of plausible values, about 95% when the distribution is roughly normal.

Knowledge check

1. A balance reads to 0.01 g. Treating rounding as rectangular with half-width 0.005 g, what is the standard uncertainty of one reading?
Show the answer

About 0.0029 g. u = a/√3 = 0.005/1.732 ≈ 0.00289 g.

2. Why is a weighing by difference (tare, then gross) given √2 times the single-reading uncertainty?
Show the answer

Two independent readings each contribute, and independent uncertainties add in quadrature. u = √(u₁² + u₂²) = √2·u₁ for two equal, independent contributions.

3. On the same balance, a 0.05 g weighing has a relative uncertainty about ten times that of a 0.5 g weighing. Why?
Show the answer

The absolute uncertainty is the same, so the relative one scales as 1/m. About 0.0041 g on 0.05 g is 8.2%; on 0.5 g it is 0.82%.

Written and reviewed by the RUŌOD Lab team. This is general education, not legal, regulatory, medical or safety advice. Example dilutions and exercises are for learning, are not validated products, and have not been safety-assessed. Completing a lesson confers no qualification. How we check these lessons.